So as it stands, as I write this, only 10% of the vote has been collected and I'm watching CNN, who paying very close attention on the Democrat's side, which I agree has been infinitely more interesting, and telling doomsday stories about how anything short of a win is game over for Clinton. I disagree with this opinion so I figured, well why not put it in writing with. As such I turned off my T.V. and decided I might as well put it in writing. Now this is the first time I've ever closely followed a presidential race so any accuracy will be pure awesome for my own self esteem, but probably nothing but chance, and up until this point I've seen myself as nothing but an attempted objective researcher. So here goes:
First off, Clinton does not need a win. A close second or even another ridiculously close third will keep her in the race. It would be a complete waste if she dropped out for any reason and I believe she should ever feel that its necessary. Obama will do well, first or second for sure as there is no chance any other candidate has any chance of beating him other than Clinton, which is probably why Edwards and Obama have seemingly stuck a deal as of late to focus fire on Clinton (can't find my reference but it was from Associated Press just after the Iowa caucus). I also Edwards will not finish as strongly in NH as he did in Iowa. I last saw he was last at 17% to Clinton and Obama's 37%. I believe this will be pretty much how it will be for Edwards.
On the Republican side, like many, I have no idea what the heck is going on. The man everyone thought would show the most star power, Giuliani has been a bomb shell diving straight to the bottom. Romney will probably do well to his neighboring state while governor. Whither he will do better than Huckabee is anyone's guess as most people still don't know where he came from and exactly how much political power does Chuck Norris actually have.
Ok thats all I have.
P.S. Woops, I forgot about McCain. I just saw he is projected to win NH, but honestly, how is that not expected. He won the NH caucus in 2000. However, like in 2000 I honestly don't believe McCain has more primary power than Edwards. Hope for a VP ticket or you're SOL.
P.P.S. Figured I'd include this interesting link on recent caucus history.
http://www.neatorama.com/2008/01/04/iowa-caucus-vs-new-hampshire-primary-which-is-the-better-predictor/
P.P.P.S. At 61% of the votes counted, I'm calling it. Obama sqeeks by Clinton and wins.
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